Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.000201 0.000223 0.000247 0.000275 0.000307 0.000342 0.000383
2025-02-23 0.000158 0.000190 0.000227 0.000275 0.000334 0.000405 0.000498
2025-03-02 0.000133 0.000169 0.000214 0.000276 0.000358 0.000464 0.000615
2025-03-09 0.000115 0.000153 0.000203 0.000275 0.000376 0.000516 0.000727
2025-03-16 0.000098 0.000135 0.000187 0.000263 0.000376 0.000541 0.000804
2025-03-23 0.000089 0.000127 0.000181 0.000264 0.000394 0.000592 0.000927
2025-03-30 0.000084 0.000123 0.000180 0.000274 0.000425 0.000666 0.001094
2025-04-06 0.000075 0.000113 0.000171 0.000268 0.000429 0.000698 0.001197
2025-04-13 0.000067 0.000102 0.000158 0.000254 0.000420 0.000704 0.001255
2025-04-20 0.000062 0.000098 0.000155 0.000255 0.000434 0.000755 0.001401
2025-04-27 0.000059 0.000095 0.000154 0.000261 0.000459 0.000824 0.001594
2025-05-04 0.000055 0.000090 0.000149 0.000259 0.000467 0.000866 0.001739
2025-05-11 0.000052 0.000087 0.000147 0.000262 0.000488 0.000936 0.001960
2025-05-18 0.000048 0.000082 0.000142 0.000260 0.000498 0.000988 0.002153
2025-05-25 0.000045 0.000079 0.000139 0.000261 0.000514 0.001053 0.002392
2025-06-01 0.000043 0.000075 0.000135 0.000260 0.000526 0.001111 0.002626
2025-06-08 0.000039 0.000070 0.000127 0.000249 0.000515 0.001118 0.002731
2025-06-15 0.000037 0.000067 0.000125 0.000250 0.000532 0.001190 0.003022
2025-06-22 0.000036 0.000067 0.000127 0.000259 0.000567 0.001310 0.003476
2025-06-29 0.000033 0.000063 0.000122 0.000253 0.000566 0.001344 0.003689
2025-07-06 0.000031 0.000058 0.000114 0.000240 0.000547 0.001328 0.003749
2025-07-13 0.000029 0.000056 0.000112 0.000241 0.000563 0.001404 0.004113
2025-07-20 0.000028 0.000056 0.000112 0.000247 0.000590 0.001518 0.004630